Polly wrote:Whew, I think we have exhausted this topic. LOL!
Ummmmm, maybe, but check out these thoughts:
Polly wrote:Just a few final comments. I disagree that the rate of measles deaths is "unacceptably exaggerated", as you say - Sure, it is good to be as accurate as possible, but Maynard himself says the actual rate may be one in a few thousand instead of 1-2 per thousand. To me this is not a huge discrepancy.
Please check your math. He is actually talking about a rate of about 1 in 10,000, and this is confirmed by his article on the statistics of the French measles epidemic of 2008–2011 (see the chart near the end of this post). So we're actually talking about a difference between 1–3 per 1,000, and approximately 1 per 10,000. That's a discrepancy of more than an order of magnitude. It's a difference of a factor of 10–30, which amounts to an error between 1,000–3,000 %. I would call that a huge discrepancy, because mathematically it's a level that can make irrelevant data relevant, and conversely, it can make relevant data irrelevant, depending on the topic under consideration.
Polly wrote:I think we had agreed that the major difference of opinion that you and I have about measles is whether it is a serious disease or just a nuisance.
Well, that's part of it, but my main point was how the statistics in this promotion were inflated and sensationalized to make the health threat sound much worse than it actually is.
OK, I have to apologize, because my claim that rubella has been eliminated in this country was apparently based on a source (which I don't recall at the moment) that claimed that the disease had been eliminated in the U. S., apparently based on a continued very low rate of annual reported cases. Dumb me, I assumed that "elimination" actually meant elimination. Doh! Apparently it means "statistically insignificant" in this instance, rather than actual elimination. According to the CDC:
Following vaccine licensure, the number of reported cases of rubella in the United States has declined dramatically to a median of 11 cases annually in 2005-2011 (CDC, unpublished data). During the 1990s, the incidence of rubella among children younger than 15 years decreased (from 0.63 per 100,000 population in 1990 to 0.06 1999), whereas the incidence among adults aged 15 to 44 years increased (from 0.13 per 100,000 in 1990 to 0.24 in 1999).[7] However, since 2001, the incidence both among persons younger than age 15 years and those aged 15 to 44 years has been less than 1/10,000,000 population.[8, 9]
Vaccines and Immunizations - Chapter 14: Rubella - Manual for the Surveillance of Vaccine-Preventable Diseases
But regarding your insistence that these vaccinations should be mandatory, here's why mandatory MMR vaccinations are not safe (also from the CDC):
MMR (Measles, Mumps, and Rubella ) vaccine
Some people should not get MMR vaccine or should wait.
Anyone who has ever had a life-threatening allergic reaction to the antibiotic neomycin, or any other component of MMR vaccine, should not get the vaccine. Tell your doctor if you have any severe allergies.
Anyone who had a life-threatening allergic reaction to a previous dose of MMR or MMRV vaccine should not get another dose.
Some people who are sick at the time the shot is scheduled may be advised to wait until they recover before getting MMR vaccine.
Pregnant women should not get MMR vaccine. Pregnant women who need the vaccine should wait until after giving birth. Women should avoid getting pregnant for 4 weeks after vaccination with MMR vaccine.
Tell your doctor if the person getting the vaccine:
Has HIV/AIDS, or another disease that affects the immune system
Is being treated with drugs that affect the immune system, such as steroids
Has any kind of cancer
Is being treated for cancer with radiation or drugs
Has ever had a low platelet count (a blood disorder)
Has gotten another vaccine within the past 4 weeks
Has recently had a transfusion or received other
blood products
Any of these might be a reason to not get the vaccine, or delay vaccination until later.
Who should not be vaccinated with MMR vaccine?
So even the CDC admits that many people do indeed have allergic reactions to these vaccines. But the CDC list fails to include the many individuals who will experience a (possibly fatal) anaphylactic reaction for the first time, following a vaccination. I'm kind of surprised that you aren't willing to acknowledge that risk. But more than that, I'm very surprised that you are willing to sacrifice the few individuals who might have a fatal anaphylactic reaction to the vaccine, and those who have a non-fatal anaphylactic reaction to the vaccine that leaves them with corrupted immune systems for the rest of their lives (similar to Mary Beth's reaction to the flu vaccine).
Most individuals who experience this type of reaction have no forewarning, so mandatory vaccination programs are bound to increase the number of such adverse outcomes. To my way of thinking, the reality of these additional lost or permanently disrupted lives would serve to cancel out most of the benefits claimed by "greater good" advocates, who insist that mandatory vaccination is justified to protect a handful of lives (while destroying/compromising possibly twice as many innocent lives in the process)? Why would anyone condone/ignore the loss or disruption of these innocent lives in order to promote a mandatory vaccination program? With optional programs as least everyone has the option of not being forced to die or suffer simply because they had no choice.
Sheila wrote:Why is it a good thing to allow children to get sick with measles, rubella, mumps, whooping cough?
How did whooping cough get into this debate?
But anyway, for your answer, look at the statistics (corrected for unreported cases) from the 2008–2011 measles epidemic in France. Below the age of 1 year, there was 0 mortality risk (that's "0" as in zero). From there to the age of 15, the risk was very low (1.1 per 10,000). After that age the risk of complications and higher mortality rates rises. The obvious message is to get it behind you when you are young, to establish your immunity. This is the way that the immune system was designed to operate. It was most definitely not designed to respond to vaccines. Look up that topic for some insight into why our immune systems sometimes seem to go haywire. If you prefer to take advantage of the vaccine, there's certainly nothing seriously wrong with that, just don't make it mandatory, based on the reasons described in my previous paragraph in this post. Here is a link to the table of mortality rates from the analysis of the measles epidemic in France (corrected for unreported cases).
http://www.riskscience.umich.edu/wp-con ... able-2.png
Polly, your last paragraph (and some of your previous posts in this thread) hints at the reason why mass vaccinations are promoted in the first place. I believe that most of us have a convoluted view of why individuals are vaccinated. As I'm sure you are well aware, it's not to protect the vaccinated individual (as so many of us believe). It's to protect everyone else, IOW, the general public.
If anyone doubts this, note that it also correlates with the Supreme Court ruling made a few years ago that dictated that law enforcement officials have no responsibility to protect individual citizens. Their responsibility lies only in protecting society, not individuals. That implies that when a citizen makes an urgent 911 call, the police are under no legal obligation to respond. Of course, they usually do respond, because if they don't it typically results in negative publicity. But legally, they only have to respond to most of them, in order to fulfill their obligation under the law. That ruling has surely prompted many citizens to review their own personal options for protecting themselves, their families, and their property.
But back to vaccinations, despite what we would like to think,their mass promotion is designed to protect the masses (the society). If the goal were to protect individuals, there would be no need to promote the vaccines, because it wouldn't matter to the government how many people received the vaccines. This goes back to the basic philosophy of government — in societies, individuals are expendable, but society must be preserved. That's the way it's been done in successful societies for millions of years.
But based on the Supreme Court ruling mentioned above, despite the Hippocratic oath, and the oaths that are actually taken by physicians (and exploited by lawyers) there is obviously good reason to suspect that if push came to shove, the Supreme Court would probably also agree that physicians have no obligation under the law to protect individual citizens. Their duty is to protect society, and this certainly falls right into the "greater good" concept. Frankly, I'm kind of surprised that no physician facing a lawsuit (especially in cases where the physician had no intention to harm) has tried this strategy (invoking the precedent set by the aforementioned Supreme Court ruling), in order to get a Supreme Court ruling on this issue, and put a stop to all the parasitic lawsuits that plague the medical profession (and make so many lawyers rich).
Am I wrong?
Love,
Tex